Introduction

A Feasibility Study for logistics & last mile delivery in USA helps investors test demand, costs, operations, and returns before launching. The U.S. last mile delivery market generated about $43.0 billion in 2025. It is forecast to reach $81.8 billion by 2033, with an 8.5% CAGR.

E-commerce is also creating steady delivery demand. U.S. e-commerce sales reached $326.7 billion in Q1 2026. This was 9.8% higher than Q1 2025. Aviaan helps investors assess this market with data-led research, financial analysis, and practical business planning.

Market Overview & Industry Insights

The U.S. last mile market has strong growth potential. E-commerce is a major demand driver. Same-day delivery is also gaining attention. At the same time, high operating costs create pressure on margins.

• $43.0 billion: U.S. last mile delivery revenue reached about $43.0 billion in 2025.
• $81.8 billion: The U.S. market could reach $81.8 billion by 2033.
• 8.5%: The U.S. last mile delivery market is forecast to grow at an 8.5% CAGR from 2026 to 2033.
• $65.59 billion: The U.S. e-commerce last mile market was estimated at $65.59 billion in 2025 by Mordor Intelligence.
• $108.74 billion: That market is projected to reach $108.74 billion by 2031.
• 8.72%: The U.S. e-commerce last mile segment is forecast to grow at an 8.72% CAGR from 2026 to 2031.
• $326.7 billion: U.S. e-commerce sales reached this level in Q1 2026. E-commerce represented 16.9% of total retail sales.
• 9.8%: U.S. e-commerce sales increased by 9.8% year over year in Q1 2026.
• 8%: Employment for delivery truck drivers and driver/sales workers is projected to grow 8% from 2024 to 2034.
• 171,400: Average annual openings are projected for delivery truck drivers and driver/sales workers over 2024–2034.
• 53%: Last mile delivery accounted for about 53% of total shipping costs in a global 2023 benchmark. This highlights the importance of route and cost control.
• $4.99: Amazon announced a $4.99 drone delivery price for eligible U.S. orders in its 2026 expansion.

These figures point to a clear business lesson. Demand is strong. But delivery economics must be tightly managed.

Go-To-Market Strategy for Logistics & Last Mile Delivery

Aviaan builds market-entry plans around customer needs and operating economics. The focus is on finding a profitable service model before launch.

• Customer Segmentation – Identify retailers, e-commerce brands, marketplaces, SMEs, and enterprise clients with recurring delivery needs.
• Pricing Strategy – Benchmark per-stop, per-mile, subscription, and contract pricing against local competitors.
• Competitor Benchmarking – Compare service areas, delivery times, technology, fleet models, and customer experience.
• Distribution Channels – Assess direct sales, logistics partnerships, e-commerce platforms, and retail contracts.
• Commercialization Roadmap – Build a phased launch plan with target cities, fleet needs, staffing, sales goals, and KPIs.

Feasibility Study for Logistics & Last Mile Delivery

Aviaan tests the business model from both commercial and operational angles. The analysis focuses on real investment decisions.

• Demand Assessment – Measure delivery volumes by customer type, city, shipment size, and service level.
• Technical Feasibility – Review routing software, GPS, telematics, proof-of-delivery tools, and dispatch systems.
• Operational Feasibility – Assess fleet size, drivers, hubs, routes, maintenance, and delivery capacity.
• Financial Viability – Model revenue, fuel, labor, insurance, technology, maintenance, and overhead costs.
• Investment Analysis – Calculate startup capital, working capital, break-even, ROI, and cash requirements.
• Risk Assessment – Stress-test fuel prices, driver shortages, failed deliveries, vehicle downtime, and demand changes.
• Decision Support – Compare launch models and provide a clear go, revise, delay, or exit recommendation.

Market Research for Logistics & Last Mile Delivery

Aviaan combines industry research with local market evidence. This helps identify profitable customer segments and service gaps.

• Customer Analysis – Study delivery volumes, service expectations, contract preferences, and pain points.
• Competitor Intelligence – Compare last mile logistics companies by price, coverage, speed, technology, and fleet structure.
• Market Sizing – Estimate addressable demand across cities, industries, customer groups, and delivery types.
• Demand Forecasting – Project shipment volumes using e-commerce trends, customer growth, and contract pipelines.
• Pricing Analysis – Assess last mile logistics cost by distance, package size, delivery window, and service level.
• Supply Chain Research – Review hubs, warehouses, vehicles, drivers, technology, and third-party providers.
• Opportunity Identification – Find underserved markets where faster or more flexible delivery can create an advantage.

Business Plan for Logistics & Last Mile Delivery

Aviaan converts research into an investor-ready business plan. The plan links commercial targets with operating capacity and financial needs.

• Financial Modelling – Build revenue, cost, profit, cash-flow, and working-capital forecasts.
• Revenue Projections – Model income by customer, route, vehicle, delivery type, and contract.
• Operational Planning – Define fleet, hubs, drivers, dispatch systems, maintenance, and staffing needs.
• Funding Strategy – Estimate equity, debt, vehicle financing, and working-capital requirements.
• Implementation Roadmap – Set milestones for licensing, hiring, technology, fleet acquisition, and market launch.
• Growth Planning – Identify new cities, customer segments, services, and technology investments.

How Aviaan Uses Primary Research

Primary research gives Aviaan direct market evidence. It also helps test assumptions before investment.

Aviaan can interview retailers and e-commerce businesses. It can survey delivery customers and logistics managers.

Supplier discussions can reveal vehicle costs and technology needs. Driver interviews can highlight route and staffing challenges.

Competitor research adds another layer. Field visits can reveal delivery times, pricing, service areas, and customer experience.

This research improves the feasibility model. It also makes recommendations more practical.

Our Experience & Credentials

Aviaan applies structured research and financial analysis to logistics investment decisions. Its consulting approach can combine feasibility studies, market research, financial modelling, business planning, and commercial strategy.

• Last Mile Logistics Market Research – USA – Assessed customer demand, competitor pricing, service gaps, and target-city opportunities.
• Last Mile Delivery Feasibility Study – USA – Evaluated fleet needs, operating costs, demand, break-even, and investment viability.
• Logistics Business Plan – USA – Developed financial projections, operating plans, funding needs, and market-entry milestones.
• Last Mile Delivery Financial Model – USA – Modelled revenue per stop, fleet utilization, driver costs, margins, and cash flow.
• Logistics Investment Advisory – USA – Reviewed market attractiveness, competitive risks, operating economics, and expansion opportunities.

Note: These are representative consulting assignment formats. They do not disclose confidential client information.

Conclusion

The U.S. last mile delivery market offers strong growth potential. E-commerce continues to create delivery demand. Technology is also changing how companies manage routes and fleets.

However, high delivery costs can reduce margins. Driver availability can also affect service capacity. Businesses must therefore model their costs before launch.

A Feasibility Study for logistics & last mile delivery in USA helps investors test these factors. It can show where demand exists. It can also reveal where the business model needs improvement.

The same consulting approach can support logistics opportunities in South Africa, Nigeria, Kenya, Egypt, Morocco, Ghana, Ethiopia, Tanzania, Uganda, Zambia, Côte d’Ivoire, and Botswana.

If you are planning a logistics venture, fleet expansion, delivery network, or investment, contact Aviaan for a data-led feasibility study and business plan.

FAQs

1. Is last mile delivery a profitable business in the USA?

It can be profitable with strong route density and cost control. Labor, fuel, insurance, fleet costs, and failed deliveries can reduce margins. A detailed financial model is important before launch.

2. What should a last mile logistics feasibility study include?

It should cover demand, customers, competitors, routes, fleet needs, technology, staffing, regulations, costs, revenue, investment, and risks.

3. How much does last mile logistics cost?

There is no single cost. It depends on distance, package size, delivery speed, route density, labor, fuel, and vehicle type. The business should calculate cost per stop and cost per mile.

4. Who are the major last mile logistics companies in the USA?

The market includes large carriers, e-commerce platforms, regional carriers, and technology-enabled delivery providers. Competitor analysis should compare each provider by price, coverage, speed, technology, and service quality.

5. Should a new logistics company use its own fleet or third-party carriers?

Both models can work. An owned fleet offers greater control. Third-party carriers can reduce initial capital needs. A feasibility study can compare both models using route volume and cost assumptions.

Related Service

Business Plan Services

Market Research Services

Feasibility Study Services

Related posts

Market Research and Feasibility Study for Day Spa Business in USA

Market Research and Feasibility Study for Dance and Performing Arts Academy in USA

Market Research and Feasibility Study for Music School or Art Studio in USA

Market Research and Feasibility Study for Photography and Videography Studio in USA

Market Research and Feasibility Study for Wedding and Event Planning Services in USA

Market Research and Feasibility Study for Boutique Hotel and B&B Business in USA

Market Research and Feasibility Study for Freight Forwarding Business in USA

Market Research and Feasibility Study for Logistics and Last Mile Delivery Business in USA

Market Research and Feasibility Study for Cold Storage and Warehousing Business in USA

Market Research and Feasibility Study for Food Processing Facility in USA

Market Research and Feasibility Study for Organic Farming and Agritourism Business in USA

Market Research and Feasibility Study for Renewable Energy Installation Business in USA

Market Research and Feasibility Study for 3D Printing Services in USA

Market Research and Feasibility Study for Interior Design Consultancy in USA

Market Research and Feasibility Study for Pest Control Business in USA