The retail landscape in the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) countries has witnessed tremendous growth over the last decade, driven by high disposable incomes, a young population, and government policies aimed at diversifying economies. This presents a lucrative opportunity for international fashion brands as well as local retailers.
The apparel market specifically in the United Arab Emirates (focused on Dubai) reached $8.5 billion in 2019, and is expected to grow at a CAGR of 5% from 2019-2023. The Saudi Arabian market was valued at $16.5 billion in 2019, making it the largest apparel market in the GCC. It is likely to grow even faster due to recent policy reforms and investments aimed at expanding the retail sector.
Despite economic concerns in recent years, the region recovered quickly demonstrating the underlying fundamentals and growth drivers. Factors like increasing tourism, growing e-commerce, the prominence of modest fashion, and demand for ready-to-wear abayas point to evolving consumer preferences in the Gulf.
This report aims to assess the feasibility of an international fast fashion brand entering retail spaces in malls across metro areas in the UAE (Dubai specifically) and top tier cities of Saudi Arabia (Riyadh, Jeddah). The study will analyze the target demographics, competitive benchmarks, startup costs and working capital requirements, product mix, pricing strategies, breakeven timelines, and 5-year profitability projections in order to evaluate the business case and provide actionable recommendations. Geographic expansion to other GCC/MENA countries may also be considered for the long term.
Key Findings:
Recommendations:
The apparel market in the UAE and Saudi Arabia has showcased steady growth over the past 5 years. Revenues from apparel retail sales in the UAE reached AED 36.7 billion (US$ 10 billion) in 2019, representing year-on-year growth of over 5%. Saudi Arabia’s market was estimated at SAR 95 billion (US$ 25 billion) in revenues.
The market can be broadly classified into luxury fashion, premium/bridge brands, fast fashion, and modest wear – catering to a wide spectrum of pricing points and consumer preferences. Luxury brands currently enjoy the largest revenue share owing to the affluent demographic base. However, fast fashion and modest wear segments are rapidly gaining share due to falling price points and relatability to youth consumers.
The target demographic for most international brands is locals & expat residents belonging to SEC A and B categories, given the high retail spending potential. Young consumers (aged 18-35 years) make up over 65% of the population – making them a key target audience for fashion brands. The rising female labor participation rates and demand for office/business wear points to evolving trends.
With declining oil fortunes, the retail sector might face headwinds in the short term. However, the market is slated to recover quickly by 2023-24 given low penetration of organized retail and recent growth drivers – increasing tourism, government diversification efforts, digitization policies etc. that bode well for fashion brands’ expansion plans.
Competitive analysis will assess performance of brands like H&M, Uniqlo, LC Waikiki, Marks & Spencer, Zara etc. who enjoy first mover advantage in affordable fashion segments to identify gaps and opportunities.
UAE:
Some of the key regulations governing the fashion retail sector in UAE include:
Saudi Arabia:
An evaluation of potential retail spaces and locations forms a key aspect of determining operational feasibility. The UAE and Saudi markets offer several grade A malls and shopping centers owned by groups like Emaar, Majid Al Futtaim, Alhokair Fashion Retail etc.
We will assess footfall patterns, visitor demographics, accessibility, visibility, parking provisions and leasable spaces across some of the top prospects:
UAE:
Saudi Arabia:
Within these malls, ground floor and first level spaces near prime anchors like designer boutiques, supermarket chains, entertainment zones and food courts tend to have higher footfalls and prominence.
Rental rates vary from AED 1400-2500 psf in Dubai to SAR 700-1400 psf in Riyadh, depending on location. Additional costs like fit-outs, storage, utilities etc. will be incorporated in financial models.
We will also conduct concept testing surveys with our target groups to assess preferences for location, store environment, products, price points etc. This can inform decisions around site selection and retail mix.
Based on our market analysis, regulatory review, and site evaluations – we will develop comprehensive financial models to assess profitability and returns for a fashion retail expansion into Dubai and Saudi Arabia.
Some of the key projections to be included:
Startup Costs
Operating Costs
Revenue Drivers
Break-Even Analysis
Profits/Returns
I. Summary of Key Findings
II. Store Location Recommendations
III. Product & Pricing Strategies
IV. Sales & Distribution Channel Focus
V. Launch & Expansion Roadmap
VI. Next Steps for Implementation
Contact us today for a free consultation and let’s discuss how we can help you turn your Fashion vision into a sustainable success story.
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This list is not exhaustive, but it gives a much broader picture of team’s expertise in conducting feasibility studies across a diverse range of industries.
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